Thursday, December 20, 2007

I looked at the InTrade market for John Edwards winning the Dem Primary futures and they are trading at about 5.1. If he wins the primary, i think, the contracts would be worth $100 each. I think he must have at least a 5% chance. I'd think 10:1 is more like it.

Following the wager on (not yet) Senator Jim Webb in 2006 that yielded me some sweet pants, I am considering buying some Edwards futures for fun.

1 Comments:

At 12/25/2007 , Blogger bpt said...

So who's going to win Iowa?
Did you know that if you don't put a title on your post, it doesn't show up in live book marks?

 

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